8th Wonder Capital

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8th Wonder Capital
8th Wonder Capital
RAVE - Tracking the Pizza Bull
Investment Opportunities

RAVE - Tracking the Pizza Bull

RAVE FY 2024 EPS +70% YOY Despite Weak Sector Sentiment

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Mr Schmidt
Sep 29, 2024
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8th Wonder Capital
8th Wonder Capital
RAVE - Tracking the Pizza Bull
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Rave Restaurant Group published its annual results for the year ending June 2024 this week. For contextThe annual results show little revenue growth (+3%) but a massive profitability jump (+50%). The shares jumped 20% on the day of the announcement. Cash and equivalents are now at 25% of market capitalization. The company also reported on its efforts to grow the Pizza Inn brand. This post discusses the results, the company’s repositioning for growth, and why my original bull case is still a plausible scenario., please check my earlier articles on this nano-cap Pizza franchise.

RAVE Q3 FY2024 Update

RAVE Q3 FY2024 Update

Mr Schmidt
·
May 15, 2024
Read full story
Rave Restaurant Group: This Pizza Franchise Turnaround Is Ready To Inflect After Three Decades Of Deterioration.

Rave Restaurant Group: This Pizza Franchise Turnaround Is Ready To Inflect After Three Decades Of Deterioration.

Mr Schmidt
·
March 10, 2024
Read full story

The annual results show little growth in revenue (+3%) but a massive jump in net income (+50%). The shares jumped 20% on the day of the announcement. Cash and equivalents are now at 25% of market capitalization. The company reported also its progress of growing the Pizza Inn brand. This post discusses the results, the company’s repositioning for growth, and why my orignal bull case is still plausible.

paint me a photorealistic bull with horns that has a delicous looking pizza dangling from one of his horns. The bull is running, the background meadow and hills are blurred from motion.
The bull case could drive juicy returns for RAVE. Source: Author with Microsoft Copilot, 2024.

Outline

  • TL;DR

  • Equity Summary

  • Q4 and FY results

  • Repositioning the Business for Growth

  • Other Indications from the Company

  • Comparison With Original Bull Case

  • Thoughts

  • Conclusion

TL;DR

  • The results are (still) sufficiently close to my bull case scenario.

  • Low revenue growth, but expenses down → strong earnings growth. However, revenue growth needs to pick up in the future to make this investment journey really rewarding.

  • Cash & equivalents grow to 25% of market capitalization. Thus, RAVE 0.00%↑ appears very well protected in case the wider restaurant sector, or even a recession is in the cards.

  • The net-cash company trades at 12.5 x EPS and 7.5 x adjusted EBITDA.

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